Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - January 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIMITZ CLASS         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
KAZ SWEET HEIST         (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
BUFF AND SHINE         (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  NEWS ITEM         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
SCR  NAZARENO         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
RISEN SAVIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-2   01/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG WINNING         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE         (stowers m)VARGAS L 120 5.00    
SCR  TORAZO         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
JOHNNY OBVIOUS         (barbalios va)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 12.00    
BETTER BOOGIE         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
PICTOR         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 49% 1.10    
DROSSELMOON         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   01/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACEYGAB         (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
ATTENTIVELY         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  THANXFORLASTNITE         (huertas nirka)FLORES E 122 6.00    
REVOLUTIONARY MARY         (martinez)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TUXEDO LEMON         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
COLOR FORCE         (salinas)BERRIOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS         (fields kevin)CORA D 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
PRIDE IN THE BIZ         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKKIS KITTEN         (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
LOLA GIRL         (albright r)FLORES E 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
SLEEPY N JOYFUL         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.00 52% 0.90    
IVY         (salinas jose)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 10% 8.60    
ESKENDEREYA'S GIFT         (albright r)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
MEEMOO         (kravets bru)INIRIO J 124 1.80    
KASTANYAS         (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
 
PEN-5   01/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.50 41% 1.40    
MIDDLE EARTH         (fields kevin)CORA D 120 8.00    
GOSIGNAL         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED         (kravets m)OTERO P 120 10.00    
TUCKERTON BAY         (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
TRENDING UP         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-6   01/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLANK SPEED         (cooney susa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00    
ZERTZ         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
STUDIO B         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
MARTINKELLY         (albright am)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
KITTEN'S SOLUTION         (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
THE SICARII         (wyner ha)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00    
BROAD STREET BULLY         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   01/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERINO WOOL         (rojas eduardo)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 10% 8.80    
COME AND GET IT         (campbell jayson)LLOYD W 120 15.00    
SMOKIN CLASS         (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 1.00 62% 0.60    
STOP TALKING         (campbell jayson)OTERO P 120 6.00    
BECCA'S WISH         (huertas nir)CAMILO D 120 2.50    
 
PEN-8   01/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEARLY MISSED         (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
MONACO PRINCESS         (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
MAGALIE         (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 124 30.00 9% 10.20    
LOLANITA         (fields kevin)CORA D 124 8.00    
JUSTIN TIME         (diaz jorge)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
GIZMO'S DESTINY         (beattie sandee)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
WICKED SOLUTION         (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
GIZMO'S PRINCESS         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.