Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDEN         (smith g)FERRER C 118 6.00    
TIMEWON'TLETMEGO         (isbell dan)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
PAPA LUKE         (raymond a)BISONO J 118 12.00    
SCR  BLASPHEMY         (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00    
RUNNING VIOLENCE         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.50    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK         (o'connell kat)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
PELUCHIN CHIN         (munoz carlos)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
TAM-2   01/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK RABBIT QUICK         (schistl rafae)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
PRIVATE CODE         (dini mike)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
NONA RAC         (richards r)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
RAL COPPERHEADROAD         (russo victo)GARCIA A 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
HEAVEN'S TALE         (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  JOHNNIE GOT JETS         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 122 20.00    
ALI OWNS THE FIGHT         (morzan )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
MERCEDES JOE         (lecesse michae)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUPITER RAIN         (seyler dougl)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
HAMMER D         (hunt donald)HENRY WESLEY 120 20.00    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
NANTASKET BEACH         (shaw john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPULANTE         (bennett ge)URDANETA J 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  RUNAWAY TOM         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
VALIANT MR.         (puckett dwig)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
TAP FIRST         (baxter g)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-4   01/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER         (engler jeff)CASTANON L 118 3.00    
LILY'S LEAD         (barbazo)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 22% 3.50    
VANDALIA         (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
MINING CHROME         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
ROUGHLY A DIAMOND         (nihei mi)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
SWEET LAURA         (stewart chad)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 18% 4.60    
HATARI         (thomas jonath)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
 
TAM-5   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIFFY         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 118 15.00    
NICK THE CARDSHARK         (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
PREPARE FOR GLORY         (arnett j)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
KILLEEN         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 118 10.00 5% 17.90    
CORT'N ASONG         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
BLAME BISHOP         (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 111 15.00    
OLD TIMER'S DAY         (cahill f)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50    
 
TAM-6   01/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINERY         (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
SCR  STRONG EMBRACE         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
WINGSPUN         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 5% 17.80    
LUNA ANTONIA         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
MISS SUGAR HILL (GB)         (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
XCARET         (stewart chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
CORNICE TRAVERSE         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  RIBALDRY (IRE)         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
OJELEYE         (thomas jonathan)FERRER C 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
10  ELECTORATE (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  AFRAID NOT         (ryan s)CENTENO E 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  NANA FANNY         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 120 20.00    
13  AVE FENIX         (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 30.00    
 
TAM-7   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BION MAGIC         (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
MISS LIANA         (mccarthy bre)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
SHE DAZZLE         (o'connor robert )FERRER C 119 8.00    
SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT         (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
SHALL RETURN         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
PROBABLY GRACE         (arriagada jua)ALVARADO JR 119 4.50 8% 12.20    
LADY JEAN         (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
 
TAM-8   01/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIP NATION         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
SCR  PROMISE ME         (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 115 20.00    
TAKE ME AS I AM         (avila c)BATISTA A 116 15.00    
TIEBREAK         (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 115 20.00    
PUGILIST         (delgado h)FERRER C 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
MARIES MELODY         (nichols priscilla)JUDE JOHN 115 30.00    
PLAY THAT TONE         (paramo martin)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 30.00    
C'EST MARDI         (cruz jesus)CENTENO E 117 3.00    
GIVEITSOMEWELLIE         (arboritanza j)HERNANDEZ K 114 15.00    
 
TAM-9   01/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM KEEPER         (boyce michele)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00    
SCR  FORTUNATE FRIENDS         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
GUINESSEY         (ward dennis)FERRER C 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
CURLIN'S THRILL         (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
MYSTIC LINK         (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
ALLEN         (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
CORRADO         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
 
TAM-10   01/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTATAABEQ         (escobar alison)BISONO J 114 20.00 6% 17.00    
CLEMSON TIGER         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 116 15.00    
SANDY LANE KITTEN         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 117 4.00 38% 1.60    
FLY FLY AWAY         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 116 6.00    
BIRD'S EYE VIEW         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 14% 6.40    
ATREYU         (pickett crystal)CENTENO E 117 5.00    
SOBERANO (FR)         (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 114 12.00    
DAZZLING TRUTHS         (rodriguez dar)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 10% 9.10    
THANK YOU RICKETTS         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 114 20.00    
10  SKIPPY'S STRIKE         (raven kerri)FERRER C 116 10.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  GENERAL (FR)         (smith g)FERRER C 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.