Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $13.60  
PEN-2   Win (8/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-3   Win (9/4/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40  
PEN-4   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-5   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-6   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.20  
PEN-7   Win (2/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $13.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :45       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTY MAC 8 1 1 1½   12 1 (rogers ronald )VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00 5.80  
UP FOR IT 2 5 4 42   22 2 (matz michae)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 31% 2.30 1.90 P
SWEETCATHERINEROSE 1 3 5 64   3 3 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.20 S
RAISE YOUR GAME 3 6 6 5   65 4 (gorham e)CENTENO E 121 6.00 22.70  
AVATAL HERO 4 7 77 7   7 5 (preciado guada)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 12.00 16.60  
MADE TO HUSTLE 6 2 2 2½   44 6 (rogers rona)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 8% 11.20 2.50  
IN HER CUPS 7 4 33 31   5 74 (manchio s)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
SKY BUY 5 8 88 8   8 89 (pickett cryst)VILLASMIL EDGAR 121 12.00 44.80  
SCR  WICKED STREET               (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
 
PEN-2   07/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:111 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILLMORE EAST 7 4 5 5 4¼ 2½ 1 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 47% 1.10 1.20 W
BRAMBLE BUSH 8 3 31 31 1nk 1½ 2 (gorham e)CENTENO E 119 12.00 13.10  
RADIANT GEM 2 5 42 42 5 43 3 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 15.60  
10  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) 9 8 76 75 6 53 4 (delgado h)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00 6.90  
CALL ON CLARA 1 9 913 9 8 6 5 (reck christoph)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
SLIME QUEEN 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 32 65 (graci a)AGUILAR M 119 6.00 6% 15.70 3.20  
COOL FRONT 6 6 6 6 7 8 7 (pickett cryst)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 15.00 62.50  
HIGH VIBES 5 2 21 2½ 3.2 74 87 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 25% 3.00 3.90  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 7 89 89 9 9 913½ (salinas jose)FLORES E 121 20.00 60.60  
SCR  BONITA LASSIE               (salvaggio mar)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
SCR  TOMARIE               (betancourt el)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 6.00    
 
PEN-3   07/18/2024 5490ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112 1:353   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMO MADNESS 3 1 21 22 2 12 1 (bentley fen)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 33% 2.10 3.20 W
MOST UNUSUAL DAY 4 8 65 54 45 45 2 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 22.20  
PHONE EATS FIRST 5 3 43 43 3 35 3 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 4.60  
ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU 7 2 11 12 1 22 4 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 122 3.00 4.10  
ROSALIE K 1 6 8 8 8 5 5 (martin charles )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
10  SLIVER OF SUNSHINE 9 9 76 7 7 6 6 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 7% 13.90 7.80  
WARRIORS JEWEL 8 5 5 6 6 7 7 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 35% 1.90 9.00  
INTRO 2 7 9 9 9 912½ 812½ (moreno tito)CORA D 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
ZIPPY DO DA DAY 6 4 33 33 55 811½ 912¾ (samaniego jose)TORRES JOMAR 125 10.00 3.60  
SCR  IMAGINE RITA               (hogan will)DAVIS A 125 15.00    
SCR  TARTAN GREEN (IRE)               (hendriks ri)HERNANDEZ A 125 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPA 5 2 23 22   1½ 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 125 2.00 60% 0.70 0.80 W
EMPRESS DEONA 7 1 13 12   2½ 2 (lake a)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 15% 5.50 6.50 P
BOSS LIKE BETH 1 5 67 5   46 3 (betancourt eli)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 15.00 34.60  
MARY Q 2 7 7 7   5 4 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
KNICKERSINATWIST 4 3 3 3   3 512¾ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 21.60  
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 3 6 56 6   710½ 613 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 5.40  
AEGEAN SEA 6 4 44 46   6 715 (brown howard )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00 10.40  
 
PEN-5   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETCHA BOOTS BABE 3 2 1 1   13 1½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 8% 11.00 0.70 W
CELTIC REVIVAL 4 4 2 3   33 2½ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 61% 0.60 4.70 P
NUCCI 7 3 5 5   4 3 (sepulveda car)VILLASMIL EDGAR 121 3.00 3.00  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 1 8 811½ 811¾   7 4 (miller a)AGUILAR M 121 15.00 68.00  
LONDON LADY 8 6 6 6   5 5 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 121 6.00 14.40  
SOPHIA'S ROSE 2 7 34 2   23 6 (kravets m)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 11.60  
LADYNESS 6 5 7 710¼   810¾ 73 (boyer jr)FLORES E 123 10.00 5% 19.00 42.40  
LIL H 5 1 4 4   6 8 (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 30.00 63.70  
 
PEN-6   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:152 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM EMILY 4 1 2½ 2nk 1 14 1 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 4.10  
REZQUIA 6 2 1½ 1nk 2 24 2 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 120 15.00 12.10  
NANASQUAN 5 5 32 3 34 37 3 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 12% 7.40 1.60 S
MAKE A SPLASH 3 6 54 5 5 510½ 410½ (salvaggio mar)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 46% 1.20 2.20  
LET'S GO MO 1 4 66 6 6 611½ 511¼ (miller a)AGUILAR M 123 5.00 3.80  
MOON POOL 2 3 4 42 4 49 613¾ (beattie d)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
SCR  WARRIOR BERNICE               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 4 1 1½ 12 11 2nk 1¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 3.50 5.80  
BEE BY THE SEA 8 3 33 32 21 1nk 2¼ (salvaggio mar)INIRIO J 125 4.50 17.70  
SIR SAHIB 2 6 4 43 3 32 3 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 8.00 36% 1.80 2.40 S
A T M AWESOME 1 2 2½ 22 5 4 44 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 125 15.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
SHANGHAI CANDY 5 8 7 7 7 5 510¼ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 125 5.00 25% 2.90 12.00  
THE GREAT CASBY 3 5 67 8 64 6 611¼ (moreno tito)RAMOS C 125 12.00 28.80  
BARLEEWON 9 4 55 64 4 77 712¼ (delgado h)OLVER MADISON 125 6.00 14% 6.10 3.30  
HURRICANE HIGHWAY 7 7 911 9 99 88 812½ (penaloza)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00 13.30  
FORECLOSURE 6 9 88 5 85 914 924¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 125 3.00 2.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.