Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
SAR-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.50  
SAR-3   Win (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
SAR-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-5   Win (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.70  
SAR-6   Win (7/10/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $7.70  
SAR-7   Win (3/5/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $15.00  
SAR-8   Win (10/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.60  
SAR-9   Win (8/9/5/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $13.60  
SAR-10   Win (4/6/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60
SAR-11   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
SAR-12   Win (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $6.60  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO BREEZE 4 1 1 11   1 1 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 0.80 52% 0.90 0.55 W
GERLIN'S EMPIRE 3 4 2 21   2 2 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 7.50  
MISCHIEF MAXEY 2 2 32 32   3 310¼ (servis c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 24% 3.10 6.10 S
MEZCALIFORNIA 7 5 712 710   414 414½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 10.10  
AMORE SOFIA 5 7 611½ 6   617½ 517¾ (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.70  
KATERINA RISTOVA 1 3 46 4   517 618½ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 44.00  
BISA 6 6 57 57   719½ 722½ (caramori e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.75  
 
SAR-2   07/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Kelso Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:121 1:232   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 4 3 2 21 2½ 1nk 1½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 0.75  
TALK OF THE NATION 3 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.60 P
NORTHERN INVADER 2 4 4 45 3 3 3 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 10% 9.50 5.00 S
CALL ME HARRY 1 1 3 34 44 4 416 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.80  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS NIGHT (IRE)               (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
SCR  REPO ROCKS               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
 
SAR-3   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:214 :443 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOP GUNNER 8 1 43 4   2½ 1nk (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 47% 1.10 1.80 W
I GOT NO MUNNY 5 4 32 3½   1½ 2nk (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 6.10  
CELESTIAL GLAZE 4 6 5 5   3 31 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 11% 8.00 4.00 S
LOST IN ROME 7 7 76 6   53 4 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5.70  
DIDINGER 3 5 65 7   7 55 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
NELSON AVENUE 2 3 21 2nk   42 6 (moubarak na)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 2.00 1.80  
POPPY'S PRIDE 1 2 11 1nk   6 7 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 6.00 6.60  
MILTON THE MONSTER 6 8 88 8   814½ 826¼ (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 11% 8.40 6.50  
 
SAR-4   07/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLUMINARE 1 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 26% 2.80 1.05 W
CLASSIC LEGACY 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.50 36% 1.70 1.55 P
ABADIN 4 2 41 4   34 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
VINCO 5 6 68 5   56 4 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 22.10  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 5 3½ 31   4 511¼ (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 10.70  
AGOO 6 3 5 6   623 638¼ (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 12.20  
SCR  J D FACTOR               (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00    
SCR  UNCORRELATED               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:124 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL RED (GB) 3 4 6 65 6 43 11 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 2.35  
1A  UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) 5 5 41 52 3 22 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20 49% 1.10 1.15  
HUNT BALL (IRE) 4 6 76 87 7 33 32 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70 S
SAMBURU (GB) 8 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 42 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 7% 13.20 10.80  
RAMBLIN' WRECK 7 8 8 7 8 65 5 (gargan danny)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 22% 3.60 4.60  
TRANSACTIONAL (GB) 1 2 31 42 42 5 64 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 1.15  
DEVILSGOTACAUSE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 7 7 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 38.00  
SUERTE 6 7 5 3 5 811¾ 818 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 12.20  
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
SCR  DONEGAL SURGES               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA               (rodriguez gustavo)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
SCR  GRANDPA'S KID               (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  GREEK ORDER (GB)               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
SAR-6   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  STRICTLY TABOO 11 8 43 43   2½ 1 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 2.85  
U SHOULD B DANCING 6 6 9 8   53 2 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 9.00  
FANCYPANTS JULIANA 8 9 10 9   74 3 (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 11.10  
STOLEN FUTURE 7 7 6 5   63 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.60  
TURRIGA 4 4 2 21   31 5 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 13% 6.70 7.30  
10  ACT OF CONGRESS 10 1 1 11   1½ 6 (levine bru)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 14% 6.00 3.10  
BEACH CRUISER 2 3 32 32   42 7 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
QUICK POWER NAP 9 11 7 6   8 86 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 14.20  
CITY BLOCKS 3 10 117 11   9 97 (barker r)LUZZI J 120 30.00 47.00  
BERN ROSEY BERN 1 5 85 10   10 10 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 30.00 46.25  
HONEST BANKER 5 2 54 77   1110½ 1116¼ (d'alessandro ra)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 11% 8.00 16.10  
SCR  BUSSIA               (bond ryan)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
SAR-7   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH CATCH 1 1 11 11   13 1¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 6.50  
INNOVATOR 9 4 21 21   23 2¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
MOMENT'S NOTICE 2 5 4 33   35 3 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 16.20  
MUNSON 7 6 7 59   410½ 46 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10% 9.10 5.40  
TENACIOUS LEADER 3 2 56 6   615 513¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.65  
FLOODLITES 4 3 31 43   511 616¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8.90  
SAM'S ROCKET 6 9 912 912¼   717 717 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 8.40  
DEVIL OF RAMADI 8 8 67 810¾   817½ 817½ (paragallo j)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
ASLEEP AT EIGHT 5 7 8 7   922½ 936 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 31% 2.20 14.50  
 
SAR-8   07/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REYNOLDS CHANNEL 3 6 4 42   1nk 12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 9.80  
10  HURRICANE NELSON 9 1 1 11   2nk 22 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 55% 0.80 2.70 P
UPSTANDING 2 7 3 3   4 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 12% 7.50 4.30 S
1A  CALL PROTECTION 11 4 2 21   3 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 12.30  
POINT CLEAR 1 9 10 108   5 58 (ortiz alexa)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 10% 9.00 3.90  
COMMUTED 6 10 9 8   9 612¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 4.70  
READY AS EVER 7 11 1213½ 1212   10 712¾ (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 20.00 40.50  
FROSTELLE 5 2 5 7   6 813 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 21.00  
HEDGE THE RISK 10 5 8 9   8 914 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12.30  
LIGHT THE WAY 8 3 6 53   7 1015 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
ESCONDIDO 4 8 7 6   1116¼ 1128 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 12.50  
11  TAPIT'STALEOFVERVE 12 12 11 1110   1218¾ 1235½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 45.50  
 
SAR-9   07/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:103 1:341   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAKING CANDY 10 5 21 21 21 2½ 1½ (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 5.80  
TIDAL FORCES 4 3 6 7 7 5 2½ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 17.90 30.25 P
IRISH ACES 8 9 96 8 8 7 3½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.05 S
GEORGIE W 7 7 85 9 106 8 4¾ (walden william)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 8.00  
MAGICAL WAYS 3 8 7 65 63 6 5 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00 26.50  
11  BRING ME A CHECK 11 4 42 4 3 32 6 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
BEUYS (IRE) 9 6 5 54 52 42 7 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 29% 2.50 11.10  
SPACE LAUNCH 5 11 11 11 9 9 83 (d'angelo jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00 13% 6.80 26.50  
PHILEAS FOGG 2 2 11 11 11 1½ 93 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 6.40  
12  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 12 10 106 10 117 11 10 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 28.75  
ALTAZOR (ARG) 6 12 1211½ 1212½ 12 12 11 (correas ig)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 29.00  
RUSE 1 1 3 32 4 10 12 (hills ti)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 49.00  
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE               (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS               (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
 
SAR-10   07/13/2024 5940ft TURF RC14 FIRM Diana Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:134 1:364   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITEBEAM (GB) 6 1 1 11 1 1 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 22% 3.60 4.80 W
MOIRA 1 5 4 5 6 5 2¾ (attard kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 6% 15.00 6.80 P
GINA ROMANTICA 5 2 5 43 4 2 3¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 15.10  
DIDIA (ARG) 4 3 2 3 32 4 4 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 3.50 42% 1.40 2.20  
COPPICE (GB) 2 7 7 85 85 6 5 (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5.90  
MISSION OF JOY 3 6 85 74 74 7 63 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 17.50  
EVVIE JETS 9 4 3 21 2 3 7 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 32.25  
FLUFFY SOCKS 7 9 10 10 10 85 84 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
10  CHILI FLAG (FR) 10 8 9 96 96 96 9 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 8% 11.70 4.20  
NEECIE MARIE 8 10 6 6 5 106 10 (reid e)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 16.20  
SCR  VENTI VALENTINE               (abreu r)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
SAR-11   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Sanford Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO PLEX 7 1 11 1½   1 11 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 7% 12.50 1.85 W
STUDLYDORIGHT 5 6 6 65   45 21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 37% 1.70 1.65 P
THREE ECHOES 4 5 4 4   3 3 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 33% 2.00 3.00 S
MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS 1 2 31 2½   2 4 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
SOONTOBEKING 3 7 73 5   5 5 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 32.25  
BABY DUKES 2 4 21 32   6 6 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 17.20  
WAR TAX 6 3 52 76   718½ 726¾ (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 14.90  
SCR  MENTEE               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.20    
 
SAR-12   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:212 :441 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RITHM NIC 8 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 2.30  
10  FEATHERS ROAD 9 8 5 5   5 2¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 47.25  
FINAL VERDICT 1 5 3 31   31 3½ (barker edwar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6% 16.30 6.70 S
11  KING MOONRACER 10 3 6 6   4 4½ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 8.90  
PLAYGROUND LEGEND 7 7 8 8   74 5 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 23.10  
THREE ZERO 6 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 62 (david a)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6% 15.70 6.90  
HEYMACKIT'SJACK 4 9 9 9   8 7 (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 6% 14.40 8.60  
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 6 7 7   6 8 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 10.20  
DR OSERAN 2 10 10 106   9 93 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 60% 0.70 2.85  
WAR TERMINATOR 3 1 4 42   10 10 (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 30.00 43.25  
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (jones e)RIDER TBA 122 12.00    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  TIVY               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00    
SCR  UPSIDE POTENTIAL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  WILL BE FAMOUS               (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.