Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/5/7/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 5.00
SAR-2   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
SAR-3   Win (4/3/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 7.80
SAR-4   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
SAR-5   Win (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
SAR-6   Win (1/9/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-7   Win (11/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
SAR-8   Win (11/7/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
SAR-9   Win (7/3/2/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $21.00  
SAR-10   Win (3/5/1/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $91.00  
SAR-11   Win (16/8/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:123 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EMPTY TOMB 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 11¾ (falcone robert)TORRES A 118 4.50 7% 13.70 6.50 W
8  ROCCO STRONG 6 3 43 32½ 32 22 21¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 40% 1.50 3.40 P
4  HIGHER QUALITY 2 4 54½ 53½ 43½ 42¼ 32 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 15.70  
6  ACCIDENTAL HERO 4 5 32½ 43 53½ 32 43½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 2.55  
9  PEOPLE FORCE 7 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 52¾ 54½ (david a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5.80  
11  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 9 8 86½ 85½ 65½ 65¼ 64½ (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
2  BOLD VICTORY 1 9 97 96 99¼ 711¼ 712 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
10  GUT FEELING 8 7 75 64 77½ 814¾ 823 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 24.75  
5  I AM THE LAW 3 6 65 74 89 915¼ 924 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 118 3.00 26% 2.90 6.70  
SCR  HORSE BE WITH YOU               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
SCR  MASON MANIA               (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
 
SAR-2   07/11/2024 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:124 1:382   2:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AMANDA'S FOLLY 2 21 24½ 23½ 2nk 13 15½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 10% 9.00 0.60 W
9  TONED UP 3 32 35½ 35 31½ 23 25½ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 ★ 2.15 P
7  SWEETEST PRINCESS 1 11 14½ 13½ 1nk 34 38 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 122 50.00 ★ 2.95 S
SCR  FREYDIS THE RED (FR)               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
SCR  RHOMBIQUE               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  SABALENKA               (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  ASPEN GROVE (IRE)               (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 26% 2.90    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
SAR-3   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PUNCH THE CLOCK 8 10 1nk 1½   13½ 13¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 13% 7.00 7.90 W
1A  LA DECENTE 9 7 65¼ 54½   23½ 23¾ (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 16.80  
7  GOING FOR GLORY 6 9 1111¼ 1114½   109¼ 39¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
6  MIA NIPOTINA 5 11 98¾ 1013   78 410¼ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 51.00  
3  NEIGH JUDE 2 8 75¾ 65½   55 511¼ (breen j)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 23% 3.40 3.95  
2  OUR REWARD 1 1 43¾ 33½   44½ 612¾ (brown bruce)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00 24.50  
5  DREAMING OF CARLI 4 3 33½ 44½   67½ 712¾ (barker edwar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5.80  
8  OUTTA THE CLOUD 7 4 87¾ 811   98¾ 812¾ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 70.75  
10  NEEDED 10 2 2nk 2½   34½ 914½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 4.00  
11  WIDOW 11 6 109¼ 912½   1110¼ 1015¼ (barker edw)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00 67.25  
4  MISS MAXIMUS 3 5 53¾ 78   88½ 1115¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.15  
SCR  LA INDECENTE               (jimenez jos)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RUN FOR THE HILLS 3 2 32 21   12½ 14½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 40% 1.50 3.65 W
2  LADY MILAGRO 1 1 12 11   22½ 24½ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 118 8.00 13.20  
1  L STREET LADY 4 5 54 55   45 35½ (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 17.60 4.90 S
9  BUSTIN BAY 6 4 65½ 67   55½ 47¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 2.90  
7  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 5 6 43 42½   34 59 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 18% 4.50 1.35  
3  SHOSHANAH 2 3 22 31½   69 613½ (horlacher )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00 15.00  
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC               (crook-demasi kathle)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  L J'S EMMA               (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  LADY MIA (FR)               (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  SUNDAY SHOES               (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
 
SAR-5   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:213 :444 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BROWN EYED CAT 5 7 615½ 610   23½ 11 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 27% 2.70 2.95 W
8  CALL BOB 6 1 2nk 1½   13½ 21 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 6.00 3.40  
2  STORMY'S DREAMING 2 3 45 44½   44 37½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.10 S
3  TOMACON 3 4 55½ 54½   54¼ 47½ (duggan david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.60  
10  D C BOY'S 7 6 719 717   79¼ 511¼ (levine bruce)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 8.40  
4  ROMANTIC CHARMER 4 5 33 31½   33½ 612¾ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
1  NEW YORK SCRAPPY 1 2 1nk 2½   64¼ 716¼ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 46% 1.20 2.15  
SCR  CLANCY FANCY               (englehart chris)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
SCR  CONCORDE SPIRIT               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  CRESCENDO'S REIN               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG STATE 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (stall m)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 1.05 W
2  WILL NOT BE SWAYED 2 4 42¾ 42   2nk 2¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 17% 4.90 2.75 P
9  TECA 8 3 3.2 31½   47½ 314¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 25% 3.10 8.50 S
3  SELECTIVELY SWEET 3 2 2nk 2nk   36½ 415¼ (chichakl)GRISALES DANILO 119 20.00 42.50  
6  MY VANILLA 6 8 74¼ 52½   511 520½ (ryerson t)LUZZI J 119 20.00 35.00  
7  MY LADY BAE 7 5 86¾ 75½   613 621¼ (atras rob)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.10  
5  FLAMING GLORY 5 7 53¾ 64   713½ 721½ (correas i)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8% 12.10 10.80  
10  HONESTLY 9 6 64¼ 86½   816½ 828½ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 29.25  
4  EPISODE 4 9 921¾ 931½   956½ 970½ (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
SCR  AMORE SOFIA               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  BISA               (caramori eduar)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  DARE TO BREEZE               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00    
SCR  KATERINA RISTOVA               (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
SCR  MEAN EILEEN               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  MEZCALIFORNIA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAXEY               (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
 
SAR-7   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SUNDAY GIRL 6 2 3.2 3.2   11 11½ (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.90 W
6  WEEKEND RAGS 5 3 51¾ 42¼   21 21½ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 11.40  
12  BANK ON ANNA 8 5 63¼ 63¾   33½ 34½ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 23.80  
3  SOLIB 2 6 73¾ 74   43½ 46 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 11% 7.80 5.80  
4  MZ BIG BUCKS 3 4 84¼ 86½   75¾ 58 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 9.70  
11  SPEIGHTFUL LILY 7 8 41¼ 53¾   87¼ 610 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.60 34% 2.00 0.80  
2  CONCERTI 1 7 2nk 1nk   54 712½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
5  QUEENS DANCER 4 1 1nk 2nk   64¼ 814 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 122 30.00 51.25  
SCR  IM JUST KIDDIN               (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  LATEST EDITION               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00    
SCR  MARCO T.               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  MOSIENKO               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00    
SCR  PATRIA               (salazar ma)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:123 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  CRUSHED ICE 6 2 21 21 1½ 11½ 13 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40 W
7  SPRING MAGIC 3 4 42 31½ 3½ 21½ 23 (morey e)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 20% 4.10 3.20 P
11  JUST MUSIC 4 3 31½ 41½ 41 34½ 36 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 3.05 S
5  SILENT MELODY 1 5 53½ 53 51¼ 45 46½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 8.10  
12  MISS FASHIONISTA 5 6 67 68 66¾ 610½ 514¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 2.45  
6  GRAB THE GLORY 2 1 11 11 2½ 510 618 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 11.10  
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GLORY               (lawrence ja)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO               (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  KANNON FIRE               (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  ELLE EST FORTE               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  SIZZLE               (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:113 1:353   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WARRIOR JOHNY 4 9 82½ 31 41½ 1nk 14 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 9.50  
2  SALUTE THE STARS 1 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 2nk 24 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6% 14.70 4.80 P
3  FILM STAR 2 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 3.2 34¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.20 5.50 S
7  BLAZING SEVENS 7 6 62¼ 82¾ 63 41¾ 44¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 37% 1.70 4.30  
4  ARTORIUS 3 8 51¾ 52 52 52¼ 55½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 6% 16.40 9.80  
6  ROCKET CAN 6 3 31 41½ 31½ 62¼ 66¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 3.65  
9  CLASSIC CATCH 9 4 72¼ 62 73½ 77¼ 713 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.40  
10  UNTREATED 10 5 94 93¼ 86½ 87½ 815 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 27.75  
8  SIGNATOR 8 10 105½ 104¾ 97 99½ 921¼ (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
1A  QUALITY CHIC 5 7 41½ 72¼ 108½ 1010½ 1027 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 47.00  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Schuylerville Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  THE QUEENS M G 11 3 31 2nk   12½ 12¾ (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 44.50  
3  SHERBINI 3 10 108¾ 57¾   54 22¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 25% 3.10 7.70 P
9  LONG NECK PAULA 9 7 52½ 43¼   43 36½ (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 6.40  
6  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR 6 9 96¾ 68¼   65½ 46½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 7.70  
1  AORAKI 1 2 1½ 1nk   22½ 57 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 22% 3.60 15.80  
10  VIGGIEDAL 10 1 2½ 3.2   32½ 67½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 9% 10.30 2.05  
5  COMPLEXION 5 4 42½ 78¾   78½ 713¾ (gargan danny)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 24% 3.20 2.65  
7  DREAMGIRL 7 6 73¾ 89¾   812½ 818 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
2  WEST MEMORIAL 2 8 63½ 910¾   913 920 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 42.75  
4  SLANG 4 5 86¾ 10100   10100 10100 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 15.70  
8  WHATINTHELITERAL 8 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 25.25  
 
SAR-11   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PARKWAY 5 6 55½ 52½ 4¾ 13 16½ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 18% 4.60 3.10 W
16  ALWAYS BE SMART 8 8 88½ 73¾ 72 33 26½ (zito p)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 29% 2.50 1.90 P
3  VINCITA 3 5 66½ 83¾ 61¾ 53¾ 38 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.20 S
11  BOLT D'PLATA 6 7 77 62¾ 51¾ 43½ 48 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 16% 5.30 4.80  
2  GET IT TO MATTHEW 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 23 511¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 10.80  
5  SUGAR HOOK 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 75¾ 618 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5.30  
12  CAESAR'S GHOST 7 3 31 31 3½ 65¾ 718 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 20.00 25.00  
1  GHOST PRINCE 1 2 44 42½ 86½ 813¾ 845½ (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 118 50.00 17.90  
SCR  BATTLEFIELD PARK               (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
SCR  BOOKWORM               (giddings melanie)VAZQUEZ A 118 50.00    
SCR  BOURBON OUTLAW               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  COMANCHE PEAK (GB)               (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SCR  EL ALACRAN               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
SCR  HOULTON               (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 2.50    
SCR  IL SICILIANO               (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  KICK A BUCK               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.