Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.40  
KEE-2   Win (10/6/8/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $9.52 $9.52  
KEE-3   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.22 $4.22  
KEE-4   Win (13/3/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $28.06 $28.06 18.06
KEE-5   Win (6/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.44 $5.44  
KEE-6   Win (11/12/10/2/15) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $15.48 $15.48 5.48
KEE-7   Win (8/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.04 $8.04 0.04
KEE-8   Win (4/11/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $13.52 $13.52 3.52
KEE-9   Win (3/4/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.36 $5.36  
KEE-10   Win (1/2/7/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $13.88  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 1 4 32 3   3 11 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00 5.20  
SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE 7 3 43 4   4 21 (morey e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90 2.28 P
LADY ABERDEEN 2 5 1nk 2½   2½ 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 13% 6.80 3.17 S
GOLDEN DEGREE 8 1 2nk 1½   1½ 4 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 3.33  
GIFT GORGEOUS 3 7 6 5   5 511½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 9.76  
WEST COAST HARBOR 6 2 5 6   68 613¾ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00 16.46  
TAN LINES 5 8 811½ 711   712 718½ (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 12.64  
MS I SPEIGHT 4 6 77 811   815 837¼ (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5% 19.00 30.87  
 
KEE-2   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WINAKACHING 11 3 31 2nk   1 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 8% 10.80 3.76 W
PENNY'S SMILE 4 2 4 42   34 2 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 41.09  
12  ZEN MOMENT 12 4 1nk 1nk   2 3 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.99 S
10  UP ON THE EDGE 10 9 6 5   45 4 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 25% 3.00 4.43  
CLASSY'N CONNECTED 6 7 10 9   8 510¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 24% 3.20 11.83  
EVOCATION 7 11 128 6   68 611¾ (caramori ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00 33.03  
ABOVE ALL ELSE 3 10 9 87   78 712 (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 21.45  
PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 8 1 2nk 3½   56 812 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80 3.05  
SAILING 2 12 11 12   1010½ 914½ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 6.22  
QUEEN ANNA T 5 8 7 76   99 1015½ (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 33.69  
AARALYN 9 6 8 108   1112 1121¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 6.00 12.85  
ICE WATER 1 5 5 119   1215 1233¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 14.83  
 
KEE-3   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SKYLIGHT 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 1¾ (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 53% 0.90 1.11 W
KNICKS STORM 5 6 4 3   32 2¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 9% 10.50 3.40 P
IRIDESCENT 6 3 2nk 2nk   21 3 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 2.66  
ONE RED CENT 1 4 6 58   58 410¾ (jazdzewski jon)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 17.34  
MOTOR CITY 3 5 5 4   4 510¾ (brinkman bre)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.30 6.28  
NAVE 2 1 3.2 6   613 631 (tracy tann)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 36.13  
 
KEE-4   04/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:211 :44 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARAYE 5 5 2½ 2½   1nk 11 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 9% 10.00 13.03 W
TWIRL AROUND 4 1 4 3   3 21 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 9.03  
CLOUDWALKER 3 11 7 63   53 31 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 22% 3.50 1.21 S
NUMERO SEIS 8 4 3 4   4 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 124 20.00 54.55  
CANDY BAR 7 9 11 11   10 5 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 14.32  
10  WORK OF FICTION 10 3 63 7   65 6 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 15.18  
ROYAL FLOWER 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 7 (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 21% 3.80 4.04  
RUTHLESS RUA 9 6 8 8   9 86 (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00 57.76  
BEST KISS YET 6 8 52 5   7 9 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.32  
GOLD DEL MAR 2 12 10 10   8 10 (bahena is)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 75.77  
15  WILD IRISH 12 10 12 12   129 118 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 64.90  
13  CADENCIA 11 7 9 9   11 1210½ (morey e)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 25% 3.00 6.17  
SCR  MUSICAL PRAYER               (vaccarezza carl)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
SCR  MY GIRL GINGER               (hernandez rey)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
SCR  TIVALI               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:39   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 5 4 68 56 54 1½ 14 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.72 W
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 6 3 2 21 21 2½ 24 (handal raym)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00 19% 4.40 4.31 P
DIVINE ARMOR 2 7 44 4 33 3 311¾ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 6.43  
BIRD KING 3 2 7 7 6 6 412½ (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 118 20.00 17.32  
SAQEEL 1 1 3 33 43 55 513 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 15% 5.80 2.76  
DIRECT LINE 4 5 1 11 11 4 617½ (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.08  
BEYOND BEST 7 6 5 6 711 715½ 735½ (troiani nicco)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 24.14  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH               (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  HUNTER SCOTT               (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 10.00    
 
KEE-6   04/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:102 1:221   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISREAD 1 2 3 34 31 12 1¾ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.74 W
12  OLIVIA MARALDA (IRE) 9 9 8 8 7 6 2¾ (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 20% 4.00 4.23 P
10  SACRED WISH 7 3 6 6 5 22 3¾ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 15% 5.80 2.16 S
ONE SILK STOCKING 3 4 5 5 42 3 41 (ramirez ricardo )CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 31.77  
15  QUALITY STAR 11 11 1110¼ 1111 8 53 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.95  
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 5 10 9 1010 10 8 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 4.86  
SAMAY (PER) 6 5 22 2 21 43 7 (arias alfonso)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 11.56  
WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE 2 6 4 44 6 9 8 (schultz lind)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 17.82  
11  PLEASANT PASSAGE 8 7 7 7 9 10 9 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 41% 1.50 5.69  
13  STORM BAY 10 8 10 9 11 11 10 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 48.50  
MOON RAY (FR) 4 1 12 1 11 7 11 (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 50.00 52.99  
SCR  AMERICAN RETRO               (wilkes r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
SCR  CAHIRA'S BLESSING               (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  FREYDIS THE RED (FR)               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  SARA MIA               (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  VERNET (IRE)               (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KEE-7   04/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARIR 6 1 11 11   1 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 56% 0.80 3.02 W
SOUNDBITE 3 7 6 4   2 2nk (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 11% 8.20 1.82 P
ALICIT INTENTION 4 4 52 63   4 3½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8.46  
HALSTYN ROSE 5 2 21 3   3 43 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9% 9.90 4.38  
ILLUSION 1 6 4 52   5 5 (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.59  
OH MY MIA 7 3 31 21   6 66 (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 8.56  
JUSTIFY PERFECTION 2 5 7 75   7 7 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 23.63  
SCR  FLIGHTNING BOLT               (casse w)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S WICKED SMART               (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
 
KEE-8   04/20/2024 7920ft TURF RC13 FIRM VisitLEX Elkhorn Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:24 :494 1:162 1:401 2:034 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SILVER KNOTT (GB) 9 2½ 21 2½ 1 12 1 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14% 6.20 5.76 W
10  MISSED THE CUT (IRE) 8 5 54 5 32 22 2 (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.13  
BOLD ACT (IRE) 4 6 64 4 53 34 3 (appleby cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 1.50 52% 0.90 0.56 S
KING CURLIN 2 32 32 64 8 6 4 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 30.00 54.09  
HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 3 42 4 3 2 4 5 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 7% 12.60 15.26  
LUCKY CURLIN 7 7 8 86 6 56 6 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 50.00 57.97  
WENTRU 6 1½ 11 1½ 43 810 713½ (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 97.06  
DYNADRIVE 5 8 75 75 7 7 815 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 40.57  
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 1 9 9 9 9 912 916¾ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 18.30 11.92  
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  WINNING SPIRIT (GER)               (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
KEE-9   04/20/2024 6270ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ben Ali Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:133 1:381   1:574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGSBARNS 4 1 44 4 3 1½ 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 25% 2.90 1.68 W
WAR CAMPAIGN 9 6 22 2 2½ 2½ 2 (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 7% 13.90 3.80 P
ARCHIE THE GIZA 6 7 65 6 5 3 3 (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 25.63  
TIME FOR TROUBLE 1 3 7 7 8 57 4 (hiles a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 18.00 7.78  
DYNAMIC ONE 7 9 9 9 74 67 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.17  
SURLY FURIOUS 2 5 33 3 42 44 69 (wismer glen)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.19  
SMILE HAPPY 3 4 54 5 63 811 719 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 35% 1.80 4.66  
LAUGHING BOY 5 2 12 1 1½ 911¼ 826¾ (jacobson davi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 17.23  
HAPPY AMERICAN 8 8 8 8 95 710½ 935¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 42.11  
 
KEE-10   04/20/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:21 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ALL I WANT IS YOU 11 11 10 10   2½ 1 (correas ignacio )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 5.94  
PROUD MARY 2 7 7 76   4 2 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 13% 6.70 1.36 P
12  PAROLA SICURA 12 5 3 33   1½ 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.54 S
EMPIRES PRINCESS 4 8 9 9   7 43 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124 15.00 16.92  
CABERNEIGH 3 3 4 44   52 55 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 22.35  
DEFINITE DIVA 5 2 5 54   8 6 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 4.79  
10  INTEGRATED DESIGN 10 6 2 22   31 7 (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118 50.00 ######  
AGENT 9 10 8 8   9 8 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 20.00 43.95  
SWEET DUTCHESS 7 4 11 11   11 97 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 7% 12.70 10.20  
GOLDEN DAGGER 1 12 1210¼ 1210¼   10 10 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 52% 0.90 5.70  
FAST LANI 6 9 6 6   12 11 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 6% 16.30 33.18  
BOBBIE SOX 8 1 1 12   62 1210¾ (gonzalez reina )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 20.00 76.80  
SCR  ITALIAN IVY               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  MAKEUP               (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  SANDRA D               (antonucci jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.