Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/7/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.22 $6.22  
KEE-2   Win (6/12/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.46 $3.46  
KEE-3   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.22 $5.22  
KEE-4   Win (2/7/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.38 $3.38  
KEE-5   Win (10/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
KEE-6   Win (8/9/2/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.34 $4.34  
KEE-7   Win (4/14/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 14 1 1 $3.98 $3.98  
KEE-8   Win (11/4/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $16.76 $16.76 6.76
KEE-9   Win (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.54 $3.54  
KEE-10   Win (1/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.50 $6.50  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TOWERS 5 3 1nk 13   1 1 (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.11 W
FIGURETI (CHI) 2 2 2nk 23   2 2 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30 1.85 P
10  SPYCRAFT 8 4 32 35   3 311 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.60 4.76 S
RIVOLI 1 1 4 59   510 414¼ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.89  
HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 6 5 4   48 514¾ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 19% 4.20 12.11  
ONE FOR RICHIE 3 8 6 610½   610½ 617¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 9.57  
COYOTE ROAD 4 5 7 713½   713 723½ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 111 12.00 25.65  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 7 8 815   816 832¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 39.77  
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL               (manley steve)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
SCR  LATIN CASINO               (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP SHOT 5 3 11 1½   13 1 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 73% 0.40 0.73 W
14  MASTER OF THE NITE 12 2 3 2½   23 2 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 67.30  
QUEBRANCHO 8 4 63 42   3 3 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.03  
NO BRAKE NEEDED 4 8 9 87   47 412½ (barnett c)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 20.13  
HIGH ALERT 6 7 4 6   68 516¼ (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 31.94  
BATTLE BORN 2 10 53 53   58 616½ (king l)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 42.87  
10  PORT ROYAL 9 6 117 10   812½ 721¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 10.98  
LIQUOR TALK 1 11 12 11   912¾ 822 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 26.91  
ELM STREET 7 5 21 32   7 924 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 36.23  
SHANNONRUN 3 12 106 9   1015¾ 1034 (perez carlo)LEZCANO ABEL 125 30.00 82.49  
11  IF I WERE YOU 10 1 7 1210¼   1118¼ 1136 (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 7.56  
12  ERASMUS 11 9 84 75   1219¼ 1243¼ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00 15.68  
SCR  GLAMOROUS               (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  MODERN DAY WARRIOR               (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 3.00    
SCR  UNREASONABLE               (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-3   04/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PYRENEES 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 13 13 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.61 W
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 2 1 3 4 31 23 23 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10 4.69 P
CYCLONE MISCHIEF 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 33 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 4.16  
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 5 4 66 68 6 59 410½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 23.15  
BABA VOSS 4 6 5 5 4 4 514¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.70 3.54  
TALL BOY 6 5 42 31 53 617 637¾ (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 4.63  
SCR  BARBER ROAD               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
 
KEE-4   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($80K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:10     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRODSBURG 2 1 11 1   15 1 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 42% 1.40 0.69 W
ASMODEUS 3 3 4 4   25 2 (morey e)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.73 P
ABADIN 6 2 21 2   3 310½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 5.97 S
10  ICEATUDE 8 6 8 78   611 415¼ (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 42.34  
AGED TRUTH 5 9 54 5   510½ 516 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00 9.15  
FLIPARINO 7 8 910¼ 911½   812 617 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 30.00 42.87  
DAZZLEMESILVER 1 4 31 32   48 718 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 28.72  
11  WICKED AGAIN 9 5 6 6   711 823 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 6% 16.20 4.75  
QUENCIO 4 7 7 8   915 928 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 76.63  
SCR  FIGLIO DEL RE (IRE)               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 20.00    
SCR  MOREAU               (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JUST BETTER 4 2 2½ 2nk 12 15 1 (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 57% 0.80 1.20 W
PURLOIN 2 3 42 33 34 25 2 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 1.85  
BELLA CRUELLA 3 1 1½ 1nk 22 3 315¼ (williamson br)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 16% 5.20 6.84 S
ENZI 1 4 53 5 4 413½ 424¼ (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.39  
14  SPICE 5 5 3 4 512 523½ 552½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 4.07  
SCR  MODERN SOUND               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  ONLY EMOTIONS               (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL WINTOUR               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00    
SCR  SMILING ELLIE               (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY               (mckeever andrew)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  KERLO'S CAUSE               (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 50.00    
SCR  SUMMERINTAHOE               (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  EXPATRIATE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  BELLE OF RIGHTS               (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:213 :444 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEHOE BEACH 2 7 1½ 11   15 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.40 1.17 W
12  BELLOFTHEBLUEGRASS 12 1 8 66   25 2 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9% 10.10 7.85 P
SONGMAKER 4 2 3 4   4 311¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12.15  
PRETTY LAYLA 1 11 7 56   5 413¾ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.78  
ON COMMAND 9 4 53 34   3 514¾ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 21% 3.80 5.07  
11  MARINA VILLAGE 11 3 6 7   710¾ 615 (heath g)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 83.32  
SHORT SKIRTS 3 9 1110¾ 1012   914¾ 721¼ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 23.26  
LEGAL DECEIVER 6 8 9 88   812¾ 822 (hamilton sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 98.44  
ELEGANT VISION 7 6 2½ 21   610½ 926¾ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 46.47  
10  TIME FOR MAGIC 10 10 1211¼ 1217   1118¾ 1028 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 66.13  
MAY MAY STRONG 8 5 43 9   1015¾ 1128¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 31% 2.20 6.17  
LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY 5 12 10 1115½   1224¾ 1251½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9.75  
 
KEE-7   04/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HOT BEACH 8 1 1 11   1 14 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 22% 3.60 0.99 W
ZOE'S PRIME 2 4 2 21   2 24 (camejo jose )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 40% 1.50 5.04 P
KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) 3 8 55 5   3 35 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.06  
BIG TROUBLE 6 7 76 66   57 4 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 8.76  
ANTIQUE SILVER 4 2 6 77   6 5 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.71  
MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 1 5 33 33   4 610¼ (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00 49.58  
FOXXY CLEOPATRA 7 3 4 4   7 712¼ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 16% 5.40 3.95  
GREAVETTE 5 6 8 812   814½ 826¼ (begg bentl)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 39.36  
SCR  AMIDST WAVES               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
SCR  CRIMSON ADVOCATE               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  NICE AS PIE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  TOUPIE (GB)               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
SCR  XTREME DIVA               (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:091     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNCROFT 5 7 1nk 1½   1 11 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 8% 12.10 7.38 W
CLASSIC LEGACY 3 10 11 10   33 21 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 14% 6.10 3.72 P
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 2 11 10 76   5 3 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 48.66  
MAGIC EXPRESS 4 6 5 32   4 4 (russell t)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 26% 2.80 12.82  
11  TUNISIAN SPRING 11 5 4¾ 2½   2 58 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 28% 2.60 0.94  
BRAMITO 1 9 6 5   67 610¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 8.90  
NO NO JOE 7 8 9 6   89 710½ (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 28.08  
LAVER 6 1 7 87   910½ 814¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 66.17  
10  B SUDD 10 4 3½ 42   7 916¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 35.16  
POLSTER 9 3 8 11   1012½ 1020¾ (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.21  
PERFECT EDGE 8 2 2nk 9   1120½ 1153¼ (brinkman brett)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 ######  
 
KEE-9   04/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:124 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) 3 5 32 32 3 1 1 (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 0.80 28% 2.60 0.77 W
NAVAL POWER (GB) 2 6 6 5 52 2 2 (appleby char)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 5.80  
INTEGRATION 6 4 5 6 6 4 3 (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.50 26% 2.90 3.74 S
SHIRL'S SPEIGHT 5 2 42 42 42 32 4 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 15.26  
EMMANUEL 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 53 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 16% 5.20 8.54  
KUBRICK (IRE) 4 3 2½ 21 2½ 63 6 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 20.00 8.61  
SCR  DU JOUR               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
SCR  EQUITIZE (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 30.00    
 
KEE-10   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:14 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT RAID 4 2 4 31 3 15 1 (casse w)LANERIE J 125 3.00 39% 1.60 2.25 W
LAUGHINALLTHEWAY 1 3 1½ 11 11 25 2 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.50 39% 1.60 3.80 P
TAGLIATELLE 8 9 9 9 64 3 310¼ (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.81 S
GILDED CRAKEN 5 1 32 5 7 5 415¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 8.10  
MY FRIEND LOUIE 3 6 7 7 43 49 517¼ (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 20.00 32.44  
LONGSHADOW 2 7 8 8 53 612 624 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00 5% 19.00 46.16  
10  EJTIMAA 9 8 5 21 21 712½ 734½ (dini mike)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.83  
WASHINGTON'S UNION 7 5 6 6 86 816½ 843½ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 12.15  
STOP THE SPREAD 6 4 2½ 4 918 9100 9100 (caramori eduardo)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 31.88  
SCR  LIPS SAY BLISS               (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.