Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (9/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.76  
KEE-2   Win (12/3/10/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $2.92 $2.92  
KEE-3   Win (3/6/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
KEE-4   Win (1/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
KEE-5   Win (7/5/11/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.62 $6.62  
KEE-6   Win (3/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.56 $13.56 5.56
KEE-7   Win (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.90 $10.90 4.90
KEE-8   Win (6/8/12/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $28.82  
KEE-9   Win (6/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $20.90  
KEE-10   Win (2/7/3/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $29.02 $29.02 19.02

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:111     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 1 2 11 11   14 1 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.88  
BETTE DAVIS 6 5 43 4   34 2 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 12% 7.10 2.99 P
HIGH FASHION KATE 4 1 21 21   24 38 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 6.56  
CORKAGE FEE 5 3 33 32   5 410½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 9.39  
BERLAINE 7 4 54 5   4 512 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 5.07  
LUBU 2 6 65 6   611¼ 620¼ (ramirez ricardo )CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 12.46  
NOSHUGFORPOP 3 7 7 79   714¾ 729¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 9% 9.50 6.91  
SCR  IDALOU               (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  MILA JUNES               (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
KEE-2   04/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:214 :451       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SHOOT IT TRUE 9 1 14     15 1 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 4.00 48% 1.10 0.46 W
STRUMMIN 3 2 6     5 2 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 9% 10.30 5.85 P
CHADO 2 6 34     3 311 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 31.84  
11  INDIGO WIND 8 4 24     25 411¾ (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.01  
TURNBUCKLE 1 8 914¼     713 512¼ (rutledge lance)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14.21  
EL DANDI 4 7 59     6 615¼ (acevedo israel)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 17.75  
10  VINEGAR HILL 7 5 4     4 717 (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.35  
FORTHELOVEOFRUN 6 9 812¼     813¼ 817¼ (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 23.72  
BAYTOWN BARACUS 5 3 711¾     914¼ 919¼ (mcentee paul)MONCADA IRVING 109 12.00 47.19  
SCR  ACE IT               (chapman james)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.80    
SCR  JET SWEEP JOE               (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00    
SCR  LA MARINERA               (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 116 30.00    
 
KEE-3   04/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO STASH 3 2 2½ 1nk   11 1 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 30% 2.30 2.50 W
RUN CURTIS RUN 6 1 3 3½   3 2 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 30% 2.40 2.69 P
COUNTERSTRIKE 1 4 4 4   42 33 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 11% 8.30 5.45 S
CHISELER 2 3 1½ 2nk   21 4 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13.31  
B D VALESKI 9 5 6 53   5 54 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.48  
JUDGE DAVIS 5 7 7 7   64 6 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 3.32  
MOLTO VIVACE 7 9 8 8   7 75 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 32.65  
RED HOT ROD 8 8 9 9   99 810¾ (hernandez rey)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 8% 10.80 11.55  
AWESOME AARON 4 6 5 6   88 913 (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 62.94  
SCR  BUSHIDO               (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN GRACE 1 2 11 1½   1 1 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 38% 1.60 2.80 W
PRINCESS MADISON 6 6 6 6   44 2 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 3.55  
10  BEDAZZLE 'EM 9 5 52 5   2 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.36 S
BELLS BEACH 8 8 8 9   6 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 18% 4.50 6.21  
KISS ME AGAIN 5 3 9 8   5 5 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 16.53  
AMERICAN SAINT 2 7 4 4   3 6 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 60.78  
TAMMY'S CRUISER 4 9 7 7   76 7 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 36.93  
SENSE OF PEARL 3 1 31 3½   9 812¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 17% 4.80 23.41  
NEAT TRICK 7 4 21 2½   8 913 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 6.54  
SCR  CLEOPATRA SELENE               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/05/2024 6270ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :49 1:151 1:403   1:584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SY B 4 3 4 5 5 1½ 11 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 30% 2.30 2.31 W
MS SEDONA 2 10 9 86 8 2½ 21 (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 12.90  
ROCK LUCKY 3 1 2½ 3 3 3½ 3 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 25.37  
CAPO DONNA 1 2 64 6 63 53 4 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 13.72  
11  SWANS COVE 10 8 108 108 10 8 57 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8% 10.90 3.80  
EVERYTHING BUGS ME 6 4 32 21 21 4 6 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 37% 1.70 3.29  
LEMON LATTE 8 5 8 9 9 9 7 (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 5% 19.00 66.04  
10  TALONNADE 9 9 75 7 7 10 810½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 9.01  
12  PRISCILLA'S COVE 11 7 5 42 4 7 913 (mott riley)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 8.05  
SAVA 5 6 1½ 11 11 6 1013¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 29.12  
MORNING SPLENDOR 7 11 1110 11 11 11 1116¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 82.34  
SCR  QUEENS FABLE (IRE)               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  SPINNING CLASS               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50    
 
KEE-6   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lafayette Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:091     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLENGARRY 5 2 11 11   1 1 (anderson l)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 25% 3.10 5.78 W
WHO DEY 6 5 5 53   55 2 (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 6.00 13% 6.90 5.66 P
FROSTY INDULGENCE 1 7 4 4   3 3 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.79 S
DONCHO 2 1 21 21   2 4 (lovell mich)TORRES A 118 2.50 32% 2.10 1.57  
BOOTH 4 3 31 31   44 5 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 1.21  
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 3 6 6 6   610 617¾ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 50.00 80.40  
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT 7 4 7 76   713½ 729 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 44.63  
SCR  SCATIFY               (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
 
KEE-7   04/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGADEMA 2 5 5 5   2½ 1¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.45 W
SAM'S TREASURE 3 7 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 36% 1.80 1.95 P
COZEE RAGS 1 8 8 86   57 3 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 21.09  
STREAMING NOW 5 3 3½ 2nk   3 4 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 30.00 64.01  
12  BOURBON BREEZE 8 6 7 7   46 513¼ (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 8.27  
AMOR FATI (FR) 6 1 41 3½   6 617¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.82  
11  BUTTERCREAM BABE 7 2 6 41   79 719¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.69  
BEST KISS YET 4 4 2½ 63   813 832¼ (catalano wa)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 15.43  
SCR  HARBOR SPRINGS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  JUST GREAT               (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
SCR  ROSWELL               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50    
SCR  VICOUNTESS               (beattie todd)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   04/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD Transylvania Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEAT 4 2 2nk 31 5 3 1hd (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 13.41  
12  CUGINO 12 7 6 21 1nk 1nk 2hd (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 18% 4.70 5.23 P
LAGYNOS 3 8 94 9 9 7 3½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 20.00 31.75  
LORD BULLINGDON 7 9 84 6 6 63 4 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 33.51  
MUSICAL ACT (IRE) 8 6 5 11 2nk 2nk 5 (appleby cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.50 21% 3.70 3.38  
10  CAN GROUP 10 10 106 106 10 8 6 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.13  
DEPICTION 9 12 12 12 12 11 7 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 43.89  
GUY NAMED JOE 2 11 11 117 11 10 8 (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 25.98  
FIRST WORLD WAR 6 5 7 84 8 9 93 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 31% 2.20 4.22  
11  FULL NELSON 11 4 3 52 31 42 10 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.74  
OSCAR'S WORLD 1 1 1nk 4 4 5 11 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.88  
TENNESSEE 5 3 42 7 7 12 1213½ (cox h)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 14.42  
SCR  CAMARO Z               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB)               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   04/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Central Bank Ashland Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:12 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S ROSE 3 2 3 32 4 1nk 13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 9.45  
JUST F Y I 6 7 52 53 5 32 23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 33% 2.00 4.63 P
IMPEL 7 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 29% 2.40 2.02 S
CANDIED 1 8 8 75 7 43 45 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 12% 7.50 1.64  
STANDOUTSENSATION 2 4 63 6 6 7 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 55.11  
SHIMMERING ALLURE 5 6 74 8 8 54 6 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 53.75  
JODY'S PRIDE 8 5 42 42 31 6 7 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.52  
HALINA'S FORTE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 8 813½ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 17.06  
 
KEE-10   04/05/2024 6270ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131 1:39   1:584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FAITH UNDERSTOOD 11 7 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.51 W
HIDDEN PRESENCE 2 5 7 75 75 3 2nk (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 54% 0.90 4.42 P
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 1 2 9 97 9 64 3.2 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.04 S
TONALITE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 4¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 19.90  
JUSTDENY 9 6 41 42 42 43 5 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 3.72  
MIZOULA (IRE) 7 4 3½ 32 32 5 6 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 10% 8.90 3.37  
STEPHANIESWARRIOR 8 9 8 8 8 8 7 (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00 89.56  
LUCKY SPEECH 5 3 5 5 5 74 86 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 14.74  
10  REDO 10 10 11 11 11 9 96 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 42.55  
GUINEVERE 3 11 107 10 10 11 107 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00 9% 10.30 4.92  
HAND IT OVER 6 8 64 6 64 10 11 (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 57.07  
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  FORESEEN               (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 120 8.00    
SCR  MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.