Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.82 $4.82  
CD-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $25.42 $25.42 19.42
CD-3   Win (3/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.70 $9.70 1.70
CD-4   Win (2/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.54 $10.54 4.54
CD-5   Win (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
CD-6   Win (11/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $4.68 $4.68  
CD-7   Win (7/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CD-8   Win (3/9/8/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $29.36  
CD-9   Win (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.28 $13.28 5.28
CD-10   Win (3/12/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $4.82 $4.82  
CD-11   Win (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $28.20  
CD-12   Win (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $12.52  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:16 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUEST OF HONOR 1 2 21 21 21 2nk 1¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.50 15% 5.80 1.41 W
PRINCESS KALAMOH 3 1 11 11 11 1nk 2¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 17% 5.00 6.06 P
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 4 3 33 3 33 3 3¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 7% 13.20 2.68 S
SPITE LITE 2 6 44 4 43 4 4 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 28.25  
DIXIE RAG 6 5 66 6 56 5 5 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 41% 1.40 3.49  
SACRED CONNECTION 7 8 88 86 7 6 611½ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 19.95  
IMPECCABLE TIMING 5 4 5 5 67 712¾ 717 (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 25.43  
MISS CLAUDETTE 8 7 7 75 8 817¼ 828½ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 22.38  
 
CD-2   11/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIPS SAY BLISS 2 7 54 3   12 1 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 15% 5.70 11.71 W
AUTO DIAL 4 6 7 5   22 2 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 3.42  
SPANISH DOUBLOON 5 4 2 1½   3 39 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.66 S
BATTLE BORN 3 2 43 4   5 412 (king l)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 4.23  
AUGUSTUS BLUE 1 1 6 7   69 515½ (kerrick )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 10.00 22.85  
HIJACK THE PARTY 7 3 1 2½   44 615½ (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50 5.78  
PALMISANO 6 5 33 6   710 726½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15% 5.70 5.55  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00    
 
CD-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP IT 6 1 6 43   2 1 (bahena ismael)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 13% 6.80 3.85 W
SONADOR 7 2 41 5   33 2 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 2.47  
MUSICMANSANDY 1 3 1½ 12   1 3 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 30% 2.30 9.65 S
BUCKEYE ROSE 3 4 2½ 22   4 42 (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 32% 2.10 4.34  
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 4 9 85 65   5 5 (taylor brent)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 12.91  
JUST LIKE MAGIC 8 7 9 912   810 69 (engler jeff)CARPIO J 118 5.00 6.17  
DOMITIA LUCILLA 2 8 7 810   7 710½ (estvanko richard)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 48.72  
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 5 5 3½ 33   6 810½ (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 7.19  
NIGHT KISS 9 6 5 77   912 918 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.82  
 
CD-4   11/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANUARY JUBILEE 2 12 32 3   1 1 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 5.00 48% 1.10 4.27 W
BABE IN THE WOODS 6 2 5 54   44 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 8.13  
10  CHIQUITA REINA 10 8 9 9   67 3 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00 5.93  
WRECK IT RUBY 8 1 8 6   5 4 (holsapple hu)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 6.75  
UNMATCHED 1 4 22 2   34 5 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 1.97  
MOTEL MISCHIEF 3 11 7 77   8 610¼ (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 119 10.00 41.30  
LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE 5 5 12 1   2 712 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 14.85  
ANGEL ON FIRE 7 3 10 1213½   1114¾ 816¾ (hancock jack )BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00 40.72  
11  PRIX 11 6 4 42   7 917 (wojczy)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.27  
RUN RUN RABBIT 9 9 117 10   912 1017½ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 47.45  
12  WIND CHASIN 12 7 65 88   1012¼ 1117½ (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 10.16  
ANGELIC VISION 4 10 12 1110½   1214¾ 1221¼ (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 28% 2.60 16.17  
SCR  TWILIGHT SONATA               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  VIVIS IN FRONT               (hancock jack )BURNHAM MATILDA 112 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/24/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12 1:241   1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD ENDING 3 2 21 2½   12 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.60 W
SPIELMAN 4 4 6 3   22 2 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 25% 3.00 4.22 P
COLLIER'S TIME 6 6 74 74   5 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 24.35  
PEEK 1 1 3 42   4 4 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 11.08  
PINELAND 2 3 11 1½   32 5 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SURFACE TO AIR 9 8 86 8   7 610¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 57.87  
TEXAS PRIDE 8 9 97 9   810¼ 712½ (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 52.64  
MOUNT CRAIG 5 5 4 5   6 812¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 10% 8.70 8.58  
REMARKABLE MO 7 7 5 64   910¾ 914 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12.99  
 
CD-6   11/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:37   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GRAND ASPEN 8 5 21 21 2nk 1 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 27% 2.70 1.34 W
ENDPOINT 5 3 4 4 3½ 2 2 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 11.08  
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 1 1 5 53 4 3 3 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 5% 18.40 4.39 S
10  RUNNINGFORJOY 7 4 11 11 1nk 4 4 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 43.23  
REDEEMER 4 6 97 88 8 5 5 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.80  
READ ON 3 7 64 7 7 714 614¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00 44.97  
13  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 9 9 74 6 6 612 718¾ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 12.61  
MACKILLOP 2 2 3 32 5 815½ 825¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 22% 3.50 9.10  
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 6 8 8 9 9 919½ 929½ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 6.00 23% 3.40 9.81  
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero s)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50    
SCR  RAISE HIGH               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  SHOGUN WARRIOR               (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
SCR  SPY NOVEL               (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT               (begley greg)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 7 1 2½ 2nk   1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 27% 2.70 1.10 W
LYKAN 2 9 9 910¾   2 2 (young terry )CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 4.75  
STONEVICIOUS 9 4 5 5   48 3 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 23% 3.40 5.36 S
ATTA BOY ANTHONY 8 8 6 7   610 413 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 43.11  
UNDER THE GUN 3 2 1½ 1nk   37 514¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 18.20 5.32  
CHIEF BUCKEYE 4 6 7 68   710½ 615¼ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 25.01  
KATTATH 1 5 4 45   810½ 718¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 8.24  
HOME RUN TRICK 5 3 32 33   5 819 (brennan terry)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 19% 4.10 26.69  
TRASHTALKINYANKEE 6 7 88 8   912½ 922½ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 22.02  
 
CD-8   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PULA 10 1 52 3   2½ 1¾ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 13.68  
10  LEMON MUFFIN 8 7 9 5   32 2¾ (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 9.92 P
SWEET GAL OF MINE 1 4 1½ 1   1½ 31 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.20 S
TANYA SHOWERS 7 6 8 6   4 41 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 21% 3.80 4.14  
ANGEL OF FAITH 3 9 4 4   54 55 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7.78  
FIGGY 2 3 2½ 2   66 69 (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 11.82  
AUNT FANNIE 6 5 10 1013¼   814 714¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.97  
CANAIMA 4 2 3½ 7   713 818¾ (guevara gust)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 44.98  
14  PALACE DRIVE 11 10 64 8   916 927½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 23.38  
ROUTE SIXTY SIX 5 8 7 9   1020 1032¾ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 75.86  
11  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 9 11 1111¾ 1115¼   1124 1138¾ (vasquez germ)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 30.00 88.04  
SCR  CLEOPATRA SELENE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50    
SCR  COFFEE CRISP               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  EIGHT DAYS SOBER               (meah m)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE ALYS LOOK 1 5 32 4 4 3½ 11 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 12.20 5.64 W
CORNINGSTONE 6 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 7% 13.90 5.31 P
PUNCHBOWL 3 2 1½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 3 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 28% 2.50 1.52 S
MAGICAL LUTE 8 9 9 9 9 53 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 38.05  
CHOP CHOP 4 1 5 5 52 4 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 36% 1.80 3.19  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 2 7 8 8 8 6 6 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 91.07  
TWO ITEM SAVER 5 6 7 6 6 8 712 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 7.51  
SECRET STATEMENT 7 4 42 3 3½ 7 813 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 11.49  
10  ALEXA LOU 9 8 6 7 7 914¾ 937½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 27.01  
SCR  ABUNDANCIA               (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Mrs. Revere Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:132 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HEAVENLY SUNDAY 9 5 2 2 1½ 14 15 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 26% 2.90 1.41 W
BEACH WALKN 1 3 45 4 43 34 25 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 14.03  
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 6 7 6 67 5 46 3 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8% 10.80 10.55 S
11  CALLIE'S GRIT 8 4 1 1 2½ 24 4 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5.69  
NEECIE MARIE 3 8 711 810 7 5 5 (reid e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 27% 2.80 3.59  
SAFEEN 7 6 3 3 3 611½ 616 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 19% 4.40 5.91  
SABALENKA 4 9 811½ 79 811 716½ 726½ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14.20  
FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) 5 1 5 5 6 822½ 842½ (chircop steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 18.90  
CHA CHA TAP 2 2 914½ 913 920 932½ 962½ (milosevic m)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 57.77  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
SCR  HAY STACK               (beckman whit)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
 
CD-11   11/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Clark Purse ($600K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:122 1:371   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADEMARK 5 5 4 42 4 21 1hd (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 121 6.00 13.10  
FIRST MISSION 2 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 11 2hd (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 51% 1.00 1.22 P
IL MIRACOLO 3 7 7 64 6 4 3 (sano antonio)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 6.57  
10  BLUE DEVIL 9 8 8 8 8 8 4 (hiles a)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 10.55  
GASOLINE 4 6 6 75 7 5 5 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 9% 9.70 3.83  
FILM STAR 6 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 32 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 9.72  
STRAIGHT ARROW 1 4 5 5 53 7 710¼ (dini mike)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 10.57  
GIANT GAME 7 1 31 3 31 66 810½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 23.25  
STAGE RAIDER 8 9 925½ 926½ 926¼ 918½ 915¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 6% 16.20 20.43  
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN               (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:134 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIMAL FRIES 3 3 3 31 31 1½ 1½ (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 5.26  
EYES OF GOLD 2 2 7 4 4 2½ 2½ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 56% 0.80 1.42 P
LIPOCHROME 5 5 11 11 1nk 3 3 (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 20.28  
10  LADAN 9 6 21 21 2nk 4 412 (bogle fergus)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 65.63  
STAGFLATION 4 4 53 7 6 68 512½ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 15% 5.70 3.76  
STAGE BELL 1 1 64 63 7 5 612¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.98  
BLUE TOPAZ 8 9 8 8 8 711 719¾ (flenner andrean)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 13.50  
SOUL HEIR 6 8 9 9 9 916 830¾ (fields christoph)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 90.86  
IMPERATOR FURIOSA 7 7 4 52 5 814 940¾ (forster t)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 3.87  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.