Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.28 $3.28  
KEE-2   Win (3/1/10/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $14.16  
KEE-3   Win (11/5/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $9.54 $9.54  
KEE-4   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.82  
KEE-5   Win (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.36 $3.36  
KEE-6   Win (2/5/6/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $28.02  
KEE-7   Win (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.76 $11.76 5.76
KEE-8   Win (9/6/12/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $12.16 $12.16 4.16
KEE-9   Win (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.86 $5.86  
KEE-10   Win (3/13/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALMSTAD 3 2 2½ 1nk   13 1 (rutledge lance)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 19% 4.30 0.64 W
HOLLYWOOD ENDING 2 1 32 3.2   23 2 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 38% 1.60 2.64 P
REMARKABLE MO 1 6 43 4   47 3 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 10.26  
ATLANTIC DANCER 4 4 66 6   58 411½ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 19.33  
LEVEE WAS DRY 6 5 1½ 2nk   3 511½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 10% 8.60 6.71  
CITIZEN 5 3 5 5   69 614¾ (moquett ron)TORRES A 121 10.00 22.46  
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00    
 
KEE-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SPIRIT 4 1 5 4   3½ 1 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 6.08  
RUNANDSCORE 3 3 2½ 2½   2nk 2 (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 33% 2.00 2.93 P
HIJACK THE PARTY 7 7 7 3½   1nk 3 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 6.84  
VALUABLE CARGO 2 10 8 74   43 4 (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00 35.73  
NIGHT CHANT 8 5 41 5   6 5 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 15.13  
SERPA 5 9 9 86   7 6 (alessi)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 30.00 55.60  
TEXCOCO 6 8 10 1012¼   1012¾ 714½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 56.02  
MICROBEASTIE 1 4 1½ 1½   5 814¾ (catalano w)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.62  
10  FEELING FREE 10 2 3½ 9   911¼ 918¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 9% 9.70 15.39  
TRIPLE OPTION 9 6 6 6   8 1019 (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.85  
 
KEE-3   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:132 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTIC CHARM 7 7 5 5 52 4¼ 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 7% 13.40 3.77 W
EGYPTIAN CANDY 4 10 76 75 6 2nk 2 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 27.17  
11  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 10 5 4 43 3 1nk 32 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 39% 1.60 1.87 S
10  TONALITE 9 6 6 6 7 6 4 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.79  
TONY BLUE TAPE 1 1 11 11 1½ 3.2 5 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 17.61  
SALTWATER TAFFY 5 2 3 3 4 5½ 65 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 27% 2.70 4.45  
GOLDEN STORM 6 9 10 10 9 74 7 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 23.26  
SEDATELY 8 11 1110¾ 11 8 85 87 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 17.74  
13  FLY HIGH BIRDIE 11 8 8 96 11 11 914½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 45.61  
ADELLEGATOR 2 3 21 21 2½ 9 1014¾ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 119 30.00 75.52  
SAVANNAMARIE 3 4 9 86 10 10 1115¼ (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
SCR  BEST OF ALL               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
SCR  TALONNADE               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA               (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00    
 
KEE-4   10/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S OVATION 6 5 11 11 1nk 12 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 4.41  
TRIDENT HIT 3 1 21 21 3.2 3 2 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.74  
BUCK MOON 2 4 3 3 2nk 22 3 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 62% 0.60 1.43 S
NAUTILUS (BRZ) 5 3 42 42 4 4 4 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 5% 19.00 13.21  
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 1 6 65 6 6 5 511½ (margolis st)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
UNINVITED GUEST 4 2 5 5 5 6 612½ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 3.68  
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT               (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
 
KEE-5   10/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:142 1:404   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK STAR DOCTOR 2 1 3 2½ 2½ 11 1 (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 42% 1.40 0.68 W
BEEN REAL BUSY 8 3 1 1½ 1½ 21 2 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 4.32  
AUTISM COMPASSION 4 2 5 42 3 36 3 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 26% 2.80 9.65 S
VALERIE BLUE 5 5 4 5 44 46 4 (engler)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 33.04  
ROSE DARLING 7 6 7 6 5 58 5 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 8% 11.40 21.76  
MISSY BEE 6 8 66 7 712½ 620 640¼ (nihei miche)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 29.81  
PEGGY'S WAY 3 4 2 32 611 7100 7100 (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 7.56  
CRUISIN LUCY 1 7 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 9.64  
SCR  BETTE DAVIS               (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/27/2023 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:133 1:373   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CALLIE'S GRIT 10 6 1½ 1½ 11 11 1 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 13.01  
HAY STACK 5 3 4 42 4 21 2 (beckman whitwo)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 22% 3.60 3.89 P
LAST CALL (ARG) 2 1 7 7 63 6 3 (attard kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 24% 3.30 4.31 S
MIRABELLA 3 2 2½ 3 3 4 4 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 8% 11.70 4.05  
12  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 12 7 3½ 2½ 21 33 55 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 28.21  
SAHLABIYA 6 4 52 6 53 5 66 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 21% 3.80 9.07  
11  QUEEN'S GARDEN 11 8 9 95 10 87 7 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
AUTISM COMMUNITY 1 12 10 10 11 11 8 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 41.97  
POR UNA CABEZA 8 10 12 11 96 7 9 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 20.00 39.21  
ROBIN SAGE 9 5 6 53 7 9 108 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 28.54  
VIVA LA RED 4 11 8 8 8 10 1110 (biancone pa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 8.41  
RED HOT AND BLUE 7 9 11 128 12 1214¾ 1221¾ (toner j)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 18.36  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE               (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  WRITTENINTHESTARS               (o'dwyer jeremia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:154 1:401   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNINGSTONE 4 4 21 21 2½ 1 11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.88 W
CHOP CHOP 9 8 8 7 7 4 21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.83 P
FUN AND FEISTY 2 3 3 31 3 2 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 8.00 22.29  
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 6 6 7 8 6 33 4 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 1.40 51% 1.00 1.10  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 9 9 9 8 65 5 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00 84.11  
THUNDERS ROCKNROLL 7 5 11 11 1½ 54 611¾ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 13.93  
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 1 2 4 4 5 7 721¾ (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 14.73  
FLAMAND 3 1 6 5 4 810½ 823¼ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 43.39  
ALEXA LOU 8 7 52 6 9 925½ 997¾ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 12.08  
 
KEE-8   10/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Bank Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:121 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURGE CAPACITY 9 5 3 32 4 5 1¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 36% 1.80 5.08 W
HEAVENLY SUNDAY 1 1 22 21 2nk 1nk 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.47 P
BLING 8 4 43 42 3½ 2nk 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5.36  
SACRED WISH 3 3 11 10 9 6 4 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 3.04  
10  SAFEEN 10 7 6 6 5 31 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 19.25  
ETERNAL SILENCE 5 12 1210¼ 12 12 8 6 (harrington jes)CARROLL DECLAN 118 8.00 20.11  
PRIDE OF THE NILE 2 2 8 7 7 7 7 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 6.38  
SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE) 7 11 10 11 11 9 8 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 25.09  
SECRET MONEY 6 6 5 5 6 42 9 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 28% 2.60 6.16  
13  FLASHY GEM 12 9 76 8 8 10 107 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 18.96  
ABUNDANCIA 4 10 9 9 10 11 11 (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00 77.42  
12  YESTERNIGHT 11 8 12 11 1nk 12 1225¼ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 11% 7.70 66.82  
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  ERNA               (matejka pavel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
SCR  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES               (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Myrtlewood Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUALMOSTHADME 7 2 21 1nk   1 17 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 38% 1.60 1.93 W
HOT BEACH 3 6 5 4   2 27 (lynch a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 22% 3.60 3.75 P
FIBBER 4 9 7 6   56 3 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 16% 5.30 7.29 S
COPPER EM 1 3 31 5   45 4 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.69  
FIELD LASS 2 4 11 2nk   34 510¾ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 5.16  
XTREME SMOKE SHOW 6 7 8 7   6 613¼ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 19.67  
WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW 9 8 9 9   911½ 715¼ (thompson er)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00 51.29  
XTREME DIVA 5 5 6 8   811½ 818¼ (robertson mcle)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 11.45  
LET THEM WATCH 8 1 4 3   7 923½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 7.07  
 
KEE-10   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:221 :47 1:12 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DE BERRY 5 4 5 6 64 1nk 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.40 W
12  JUSTDENY 11 8 3 33 32 2nk 2 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.90  
13  HIDDEN PRESENCE 12 10 7 7 76 5 33 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00 20% 4.10 16.45 S
FLORIBUNDA 3 5 4 45 4 4 44 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 55% 0.80 3.26  
MISS HARMONIC 2 1 8 8 87 6 5 (forster t)LANERIE J 119 15.00 55.99  
LAURISTON (IRE) 8 12 1011¼ 1010¼ 10 7 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 4.26  
DAZZLIN' DICTATOR 4 3 1111¾ 1112¾ 11 11 78 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 9.39  
BROUGHTY FERRY 7 11 1213¼ 1212¾ 1210 1210¾ 8 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 30.53  
ADRASTEIA 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 3 99 (bogle fergus)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 78.26  
10  THORNY 9 9 9 9 9 9 109 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.23  
11  CLEOPATRA'S NILE 10 7 6 55 5 10 1110 (joseph a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 9.98  
GOLD DEL MAR 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 8 1212¾ (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 5% 19.00 42.21  
SCR  ITS SATISFACTUAL               (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  SIERRA SKY               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.