Handicappers' Race Results

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Sweetwater Downs
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SWF-1   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:231         1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY JOE 3 6 5 1nk   1nk 1 (taylor josh)VALENZUELA R 126 2.50 5% 19.00 2.50 W
MIDNIGHT DARE 8 5 2½ 5   2nk 2 (mitchell r)FINN AISLINN 121 4.00 37% 1.70 4.50 P
NOSTRINGSATTACHED 4 2 4 2nk   32 3 (bunn shawn)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 6.00 14.40  
DADDY JACK 1 3 7 6   5 4 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 3.00 32% 2.20 3.20  
ALLISON'S SURPRISE 2 7 6 7   7 510½ (mitchell chris)BETHKE A 123 6.00 2.60  
DIABLOS MOON 5 1 1½ 4¼   4 611¼ (garfias diana)RAMIREZ EDGAR 124 12.00 6.70  
COWGIRL ALISHA 6 4 31 3.2   6 721¼ (green d)CARILLO DANIEL 121 10.00 18.30  
RAISE A CROWN 7 8 810 810¾   815¼ 846¼ (castillo ricardo)RAMOS MANUEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00 37.60  
 
SWF-2   09/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKEL TE 6 6 4¼ 31   2nk 11 (christoffersen)VALENZUELA R 126 6.00 22% 3.50 3.10 W
TRICKESSY 4 5 1nk 2nk   1nk 21 (taylor josh)BETHKE A 126 8.00 8.20 P
SUNSHINE EMILY 3 1 2nk 1nk   31 3 (gibbs tyler)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 2.50 1.00 S
SHAWTAY 5 2 3.2 4   42 4 (taylor josh)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 2.00 1.60  
PAPAYA 1 4 6 5   53 513¾ (hadley joe)LINAN FRANCISCO 126 4.50 50% 1.00 48.50  
BRITE LILY 2 3 5 6   64 618½ (dennis clifton)CARILLO DANIEL 126 3.50 40.50  
 
SWF-3   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KESSLER KID 7 2 1 14   15 110¼ (higgins martha)FINN AISLINN 124 2.00 1.50  
LOUIE ZAMPERINI 4 5 2 3   25 210¼ (story shaun)VALENZUELA R 124 2.50 11% 7.90 2.60 P
FLIGHT SPEED 1 4 4 24   35 313¾ (tsosie terril)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 8.00 14.30  
TWO SOCKS MAC 5 1 3 4   46 414¾ (schindler jeff)CARILLO DANIEL 124 3.50 14.30  
FORMER GRADUATE 6 7 6 610   6 520¾ (hansen l)RAMIREZ EDGAR 126 4.50 42% 1.40 5.10  
FLUSHING FLASH 2 3 5 57   59 622¼ (crooked d)LINAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
BIG CANDY 3 6 7 710   711¼ 736¼ (mitchell chris)BETHKE A 124 15.00 9% 9.60 7.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.